Statistical characteristics of information flows of train arrivals to the Chelyabinsk Major railroad yard

Authors

  • Vyacheslav Sergeevich Zhabreev CHIRT-USURT
  • Vyacheslav Evgenjevich Ignatov CHIRT

Keywords:

statistic analysis, railway traffic, arrival time, human factor, to predict, Poisson's distribution

Abstract

The findings of the statistic analysis differences between the registered and existent arrival times of the train set on the major railway yard Chelyabinsk, classified according to Poisson's law, are presented in the article. The interconnection of the statistic methods in the process of taking decisions on the train formation will allow to enlarge the reliability of prediction in the specified interval by means of minimizing the human factor's influence.

Author Biographies

Vyacheslav Sergeevich Zhabreev, CHIRT-USURT

doctor of engineering, professor, Honored Worker of university, The Head of Department of "Computer technology" CHIRT-USURT

Vyacheslav Evgenjevich Ignatov, CHIRT

Postgraduate student USURT of ?Computer technology? CHIRT

References

Правительство Российской Федерации. Постановление. Стратегия развития железнодорожного транспорта до 2030 года № 877-р от 17.06.2008 г.

Исходные данные для статистического анализа и прогнозирования / С.А. Айвазян, О.Я. Балкинд, Т.Д. Баснина и др.; под ред. Г.Б. Клейнера. – http://www.aup.ru/books/m71/pril1_1.htm (дата обращения 20.10.2011).

Положинцев, Б.И. Теория вероятностей и математическая статистика. Введение в математическую статистику: учеб. пособие / Б.И. Положинцев. – СПб.: Изд-во Политехн. ун-та, 2010. – 95 с.

Published

2014-03-13

Issue

Section

The main