Statistical characteristics of information flows of train arrivals to the Chelyabinsk Major railroad yard
Keywords:
statistic analysis, railway traffic, arrival time, human factor, to predict, Poisson's distributionAbstract
The findings of the statistic analysis differences between the registered and existent arrival times of the train set on the major railway yard Chelyabinsk, classified according to Poisson's law, are presented in the article. The interconnection of the statistic methods in the process of taking decisions on the train formation will allow to enlarge the reliability of prediction in the specified interval by means of minimizing the human factor's influence.References
Правительство Российской Федерации. Постановление. Стратегия развития железнодорожного транспорта до 2030 года № 877-р от 17.06.2008 г.
Исходные данные для статистического анализа и прогнозирования / С.А. Айвазян, О.Я. Балкинд, Т.Д. Баснина и др.; под ред. Г.Б. Клейнера. – http://www.aup.ru/books/m71/pril1_1.htm (дата обращения 20.10.2011).
Положинцев, Б.И. Теория вероятностей и математическая статистика. Введение в математическую статистику: учеб. пособие / Б.И. Положинцев. – СПб.: Изд-во Политехн. ун-та, 2010. – 95 с.






