Identification of Key Dominant Factors Determinig Sustainable Development of Urban Heat Supply System
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.14529/power170402Keywords:
development program, specific indicator, forecasting, development of the heat supply systemAbstract
Both in Russia and abroad the population is mainly concentrated in cities. The process of urbanization in the limit will be completed when the last person moves to the city. Now there is an increase in the number of cities and their population. The latter factor requires the city and its systems to be properly developed to ensure the needs of a man and the society including energy of various types. The search for optimal development of
the city energy system in the conditions of centralized heat and power supply is an urgent task for Russian cities due to fundamental changes in the structure of energy consumption, equipment aging, climate change, etc.
The city power system is a set of generating objects, electric and heat networks connected with each other and interconnected by common modes in the continuous process of production, transformation, transmission and distribution of electric and thermal energy under the general management of this mode.
The city energy system is closely connected with the infrastructure, cultural, urban planning, socio-economic and environmental aspects of the city's life which have a certain impact on it. The task of forecasting the sustainable development of the urban heat supply system is to identify and summarize the key dominant factors that determine the sustainable development of the urban heat supply system.
References
Skhema teplosnabzheniya goroda Volzhskiy. Obosnovyvayushchie materialy [Heat supply scheme of the city of Volzhsky. Substantiating materials], 2013. Available at: http://admvol.ru/departments/KOZhG/docs/ Scheme%20the supply of supplies%20-%20Fearing%20materials.pdf (accessed 15.07.2016).
Skhema teplosnabzheniya goroda Arkhangel'sk. Obosnovyvayushchie materialy [Diagram of heat sup-ply of the city of Arkhangelsk. Substantiating materials], 2012. Available at: http://www.arhcity.ru/data/1216/ Glava%201.pdf (accessed July 20.07.2016).
Skhema teplosnabzheniya goroda Ekaterinburg [Heat supply scheme of the city of Yekaterinburg]. Available at: http: // екатеринбург.рф/file/23bc52ffad286c130c361a857cf5e5c2 (accessed 10.07.2016).
Skhema teplosnabzheniya goroda Perm'. Obosnovyvayushchie materialy [Heat supply scheme of the city of Perm. Substantiating materials]. Available at: http://www.gorodperm.ru/upload/pages/16192/Skhema_ teplosnabzhenija_obosnovyvajushhije_materialy.pdf (accessed 01.07.2016).
Skhema teplosnabzheniya goroda Nizhniy Novgorod [Heat supply scheme of Nizhny Novgorod], 2015. Available at: http: // unlock.gr./zastroyka/teplo/proekt2016.pdf (accessed 05.07.2016).
Skhema teplosnabzheniya goroda Ivanovo. Obosnovyvayushchie materialy [Heat supply scheme of the city of Ivanovo. Substantiating materials]. Available at: http://ivgoradm.ru/ugkh/proektteplosnab.htm (ac-cessed 05.07.2016).
Skhema teplosnabzheniya goroda Krasnodar. Obosnovyvayushchie materialy [Heat supply scheme of
the city of Krasnodar. Substantiating materials], 2015. Available at: https://krd.ru/uploads/files/2016/05/11/25485-03401.st-pst.000.000.pdf (accessed 03.10.2016).
Skhema teplosnabzheniya goroda Novosibirsk. Obosnovyvayushchie materialy [Heat supply scheme of
the city of Novosibirsk. Substantiating materials], 2016. Available at: http://www.degkh.ru/shema-ts/content3/ shema_2017.pdf (accessed 07.07.2016).
Skhema teplosnabzheniya goroda Khabarovsk. Obosnovyvayushchie materialy [Heat supply scheme of
the city of Khabarovsk. Substantiating materials]. Available at: http://dasiz.khabarovskadm.ru/engineering_
infrastructure/engineering_schemes/project_teplo2028/ProjectTeplo_gl1Part3.pdf (accessed 08.07.2016).
Skhema teplosnabzheniya goroda Khabarovsk. Obosnovyvayushchie materialy [Heat supply scheme of the city of Khabarovsk. Substantiating materials], 2016. Available at: http://www.admomsk.ru/web/guest/government/ divisions/35/heat-supply-scheme (accessed 08.07.2016).
Skhema teplosnabzheniya goroda Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk. Obosnovyvayushchie materialy [Diagram of heat supply of the city of Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk. Substantiating materials], 2013. Available at: http://yuzhno-sakh.ru/ files/docs/f/0/f09f91b15a798f10460395ea46af3bc3dd6301e7.pdf (accessed 02.07.2016).
Skhema teplosnabzheniya goroda Cheboksary. Obosnovyvayushchie materialy [Diagram of heat sup-ply of the city of Cheboksary. Substantiating materials], 2014. Available at: http://gov.cap.ru/info.aspx?gov_ id=81&type=main&id=2723392 (06.07.2016).
Skhema teplosnabzheniya goroda Tomsk. Obosnovyvayushchie materialy [Heat supply scheme of Tomsk. Substantiating materials], 2014. Available at: http://www.admin.tomsk.ru/pgs/4ew (accessed 04.07.2016).
Skhema teplosnabzheniya goroda Barnaul. Obosnovyvayushchie materialy [Heat supply scheme of
the city of Barnaul. Substantiating materials], 2014. Available at: http://barnaul.org/vlast/administraciya/ komitet/arh/inaja_informacija_o_svoey_dejatel_2/skhema-teplosnabzheniya-v-administrativnykh-granitsakh-goroda-barnaula-do-2029-goda/ (accessed 04.07.2016).
Skhema teplosnabzheniya goroda Vladivostok. Obosnovyvayushchie materialy. Kompleksnye energet-i¬cheskie resheniya [Heat supply scheme of the city of Vladivostok. Substantiating materials], 2013. Available at: http://www.vlc.ru/news/site_news/104601/ (accessed 07.07.2016).
Skhema teplosnabzheniya goroda Murmansk [Heat supply scheme of the city of Murmansk. Substan-tia¬ting materials], 2013. Available at: http://www.citymurmansk.ru/strukturnye_podr/?itemid=311#descr (ac-cessed 02.07.2016).
Skhema teplosnabzheniya goroda Smolensk. Obosnovyvayushchie materialy [Diagram of heat supply of the city of Smolensk. Substantiating materials], 2014. Available at: http://www.smoladmin.ru/spravocn/teplo/files/ 2015_02_01.pdf (accessed 02.07.2016).
Skhema teplosnabzheniya goroda Voronezh. Obosnovyvayushchie materialy [Diagram of heat supply of the city of Voronezh. Substantiating materials], 2015. Available at: http://www.voronezh-city.ru/communications/ main_topics/detail/14182 (accessed 08.07.2016).
Skhema teplosnabzheniya goroda Tambov. Obosnovyvayushchie materialy [Heat supply scheme of
the city of Tambov. Substantiating materials], 2015. Available at: http://city.tambov.gov.ru/fileadmin/user_upload/ org/kgr/%D0%A1%D1%85%D0%B5%D0%BC%D0%B0_%D1%82%D0%B5%D0%BF%D0%BB%D0%BE%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%B0%D0%B1%D0%B6%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%B8%D1%8F_%D0%B3._%D0%A2%D0%B0%D0%BC%D0%B1%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B0.pdf (accessed 08.07.2016) .
GOST 30494–2011. [Buildings are residential and public. Microclimate parameters in the premises], 2011. Available at: http://www.yourdom.ru/gost/30494-2011/ (in Russ.)
IPCC, 2013: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to
the Fifth Assessment Report [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 1535 pp.
Semenov V.A., Latif M., Dommenget D., Keenlyside N.S., Strehz A., Martin T., Park W. The Impact of North Atlantic-Arctic Multidecadal Variability on Northern Hemisphere Surface Air Temperature. J. Cli-mate, 2010, vol. 23, pp. 5668–5677. DOI: 10.1175/2010JCLI3347.1
Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Core Writing Team, Pachauri R.K and Reisinger A. (eds.)]. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland. 104 p.
Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation. A Spe-cial Report of Working Groups I and 11 of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge Uni-versity Press, Cambridge, UKand New York, NY, USA. 582 p.
Rossiyskiy statisticheskiy ezhegodnik [Russian Statistical Yearbook], 2017. Available at: http://www.gks.ru/wps/wcm/connect/rosstat_main/rosstat/en/statistics/publications/catalog/doc_1135087342078
JV 131.13330.2012. [Construction climatology], 2012. Available at: http://docs.cntd.ru/document/ 1200095546 (in Russ.)