CITY TRAFFIC FLOWS IN THE LIGHT OF EXTRAPOLATION ANALYSIS

Yu.V. Kruglov, R.A. Malkov

Abstract


Forward-looking indicators of freight flows can identify the conflicts of the interaction of the
flow with the layout of the city. The article defines the efficiency of the method in the completeness
of assessment of the current and future trends in the development of freight transport flows in the
planning of urban areas. The character of the existing distribution of traffic flows in the city as well
as future development trends in intensity and capacity is given.
The results of the city traffic flows forecasting as a missing link complete the generally accepted
method of calculating the total traffic flow in the layout of the city, which will satisfy all the
requirements of the General plan of the city. The research results allow us to justify the classification
of the road network, determine the dimensions of carriageways and lanes, to select relevant characteristics
of the roadway, to assign the most favorable mode of traffic on the highways, etc.
Keywords: urban planning, traffic flows, forecasting analysis, growth factor.

References


Sadovnichiy V.A., Akaev A.A., Korotaev A.V., Malkov S.Yu. Modelirovanie i prognozirovanie mirovoy

dinamiki [Modeling and forecasting global dynamics]. Nauchnyy sovet po Programme fund. issled. [Scientific

Council on the Programme of fundamental research]. ISPI RAN Publ., 2012. 359 p.

Aliakbarkyzy D. Prognozirovanie gruzovykh potokov i formirovanie rynka transportnykh uslug [Forecasting

freight flows and the formation of the market of transport services]. KazATC named after M. Tynyshpayev

Publ., 2010.

Yareshchenko N.V., Naumov V.S., Nizamutdinov D.T. Metody prognozirovaniya ob"emov perevozok na

avtomobil'nom transporte [Methods of forecasting traffic volumes on road transport]. HNADU Publ., 2007.

Pravdin N.V., Dykanyuk M.L., Negrey V.Ya. Prognozirovanie gruzovykh potokov [Forecasting freight

flows]. Moscow, Transport Publ., 1987. 247 p.

Mal'kov R.A., Kruglov Yu. V. [Peculiarities of formation of flows of freight transport]. Voprosy planirovki

i zastroyki gorodov: Materialy XIX mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii. [The issues of planning

and building cities: proceedings of the XIX international scientific and practical conference]. Penza, PGUAS Publ.,

(in Russ.).

Gromov N.N., Persianov V.A. Upravlenie na transporte [Transport management]. Moscow, Transport

Publ., 1990. 336 p.

Mikhaylov A.Yu., Golovnykh I.M. Sovremennye tendentsii proektirovaniya i rekonstruktsii ulichnodorozhnykh

setey gorodov [Modern trends in the design and reconstruction of the road networks of cities]. Novosibirsk,

Science Publ., 2004, 267 p.

Yarmolinskiy A.I., Pugachev I.N., Kolesnyak A.V. [Classification of urban streets and roads]. Analiz sostoyaniya

i aktual'nye zadachi povysheniya effektivnosti funktsionirovaniya ulichno-dorozhnoy seti g. Khabarovska.

Materialy nauch.-prakt. konf. [Analysis of condition and actual problems of improving the efficiency of the road

network. Khabarovsk: proceedings of the scientific.-practical use. proc]. Khabarovsk, KhGTU Publ., 2005

(in Russ.).


Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.