Метод прогнозирования электропотребления бытовыми потребителями в условиях Республики Таджикистан
Аннотация
По данным динамики электропотребления и состояния городских электрических сетей городов Республики Таджикистан по потерям электроэнергии, а также структурам электропотребления по группам, принятым в Республике Таджикистан, проведен анализ. Предлагается метод прогнозирования электропотребления и определения средней мощности в часы максимума нагрузок для бытовых потребителей с учётом условий местности Республики Таджикистан. Для выведения уравнения прогнозирования электропотребления предложен коэффициент времени максимума нагрузок – , зависящий от территориального расположения и климатометеорологических условий местности Республики Таджикистан, имеющий различные значения, соответствующие условиям местности. Апробация предложенного метода прогнозирования электропотребления проведена для одного фидера подстанций «Восточная – 10/35/6 кВ» г. Душанбе. Установлена зависимость влияния территориального расположения и климатометеорологических условий местности городов Республики Таджикистан на режимы работы городской электрической сети, в частности, в узлах 0,4 кВ.
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